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Friday, December 3, 2010
Mock Draft (12-3-2010)
* draft order based on my projected outcome
1. Carolina Panthers- Andrew Luck,QB,Stanford
The Panthers didn't take Clausen until the 2nd round and I don't think they're are totally sold on him being their QB of the future. Luck is a player that has a chance to be an elite QB in the NFL and you don't pass on that for a guy that you're not totally sold on.
2. Detroit Lions- Patrick Peterson,CB,LSU
The Lions look like they have a bright future with a number of young up and coming stars. They are terrible in the secondary though and in the NFL you have to have multiple good cover guys, especially with GB in their division.
3. Cincinnati Bengals- Da Quan Bowers,DE,Clemson
If I'm GM of the Bengals I'm building the team from the lines. Teams that consistently win in the NFL are good up front on both sides of the ball. I don't know when the Bengals are going to get this, probably never, Mike Brown would rather take the big name skill guys because he thinks it'll sell tickets. If Luck is there I'm taking him because you don't pass on someone that has the ability to be elite like Brady and Manning, and I'm having him sit for a year or two to build a team around him so he has confidence right out of the gate.
That being said, Luck is gone and Bowers is the top player left on my big board and fills a huge need. You need to be able to get pressure on the QB and Bowers is a player that can single handily disrupt plays. With the Corners the Bengals currently have if they have an elite pass rusher they would be tough to throw on. Bowers has been unblockable this year and I believe will be an elite pass rusher in the NFL. The Bengals have had some good drafts the past couple years and have a good foundation of young core players. As bad as it's been this year, if they can build the lines they could have a good contending team year in and year out.
4. Buffalo Bills- Nick Fairley,DT,Auburn
The Bills aren't as bad as their record indicates and Fitzpatrick has played well. However they are terrible against the run and Fairley is the type of player who gets great penetration and will command double teams and can play DT or DE in the Bills 3-4 scheme.
5. Arizona Cardinals- Ryan Mallett,QB,Arkansas
The Cards play at QB has been horrible this year. When you have a WR like Fitzgerald you have to get a QB that can get him the ball.
6. Denver Broncos- Marcell Dareus,DE/DT,Alabama
The Broncos have been terrible on defense this year. This is one of the most athletically gifted players in the draft and I think is a perfect fit at DE in a 3-4 scheme and is a huge need for Denver.
7. Dallas Cowboys- Anthony Costanzo,OT,Boston College
After seeing Romo get hurt this year, I think Jerry Jones will do something to sure up that below average O line.
8. San Francisco 49ers- Prince Amukamara,CB,Nebraska
I thought the Niners would take a 1st round CB in this year's draft. They didn't and are still struggling there big time.
9. Minnesota Vikings- Jake Locker,QB,Washington
This is likely Favre's last year and the Vikings obviously aren't sold on Tavarris Jackson or they wouldn't have sent a plane and players to get Favre this year. This may be a reach but there is a premium on 1st round QB's and even though Locker has struggled he has the talent to be an upper echelon NFL QB.
10. Cleveland Browns- AJ Green,WR,Georgia
I doubt Green will fall this far because someone would trade up to get him if he did. He is an unbelievable talent and if the Browns land him here that would be a draft day steal.
11. Seattle Seahawks- Brandon Harris,CB,Miami
Everyone has thrown all over Seattle this year, they should look to land a CB in this draft pool loaded with 1st round talent a CB.
12. New England Patriots- Janoris Jenkins,CB,Florida (from Raiders)
I think Bellichek is happy with his core or WR's and will look to load up his secondary with another 1st round CB to play opposite of Devin McCourtey.
13. Washington Redskins- Julio Jones,WR,Alabama
The Redskins best playmaker on offense is Santana Moss and he's an average WR. Jones is a physical freak that will be tough to cover.
14. Tennessee Titans- Stephen Paea,DT,Oregon State
The Titans still haven't found a replacement for Haynesworth and Paea is freakishly strong and will be a force at DT in a 4-3.
15. Houston Texans- Aaron Williams,CB,Texas
The Texans have been horrible in the secondary, Kareem Jackson hasn't played well in his rookie year. With the Colts in their division they need cover guys. Rahim Moore could be the pick here as well, but I think CB needs to be adressed first.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars- Robert Quinn,DE,North Carolina
The Jags brought in Aaron Kampman but he blew out his ACL. They need players that can get after the QB as they also have Peyton Manning in their division.
17. Miami Dolphins- Mark Ingram,RB,Alabama
I think this is Ronnie Brown's last year in Miami and Ricky Williams is old. The Phins are a run first team and need a workhorse RB. Ingram is the only RB in this draft class worthy of a 1st round pick.
18. Kansas City Chiefs- Von Miller,OLB,Texas A&M
Miller would be a perfect fit in the KC 3-4. Pioli hasn't generally taken those pass rushing OLB's in the 1st round, but no one thought he would take a Safety with a top 5 pick either.
19. New York Giants- Akeem Ayers,OLB,UCLA
LB is by far the biggest weak spot on the Giants, their best LB is close to retirement and Ayers is the best fit and makes the most sense here.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Justin Blackmon,WR,Oklahoma State
The Bucs will hope Ingram is still available, but I don't think he will be. They need some playmakers on offense. Mike Williams was a good find and Arrelious Benn could develop into a good WR, but Blackmon could be a legit #1 WR for their young QB.
21. St Louis Rams- Jonathon Baldwin,WR,Pittsburgh
Baldwin's stock has fallen, but it really isn't his fault. The QB play at Pitt this year has been awful. The Rams have a rising star at QB and need to get him a legit #1 WR. They have a good mix of young WR's but no legit number one.
22. Indianapolis Colts- Gabe Carimi,OT,Wisconsin
The Colts have been devistated by injury this year about everywhere, but their biggest need is O line and when you have Peyton Manning you need to keep lineman stock piled. If you give him time he'll win you Super Bowls. Plus Carimi can be a road grader to help with that terrible running game and would be a perfect fit on the right side of that line as he's big enough to play Guard as well.
23. Chicago Bears- Nate Solder,OT,Colorado
O line is also the Bears biggest weakness. Cutler has been getting killed and Forte has been inconsistent with nowhere to run.
24. Baltimore Ravens- Brandon Burton,CB,Utah
The Ravens always seem to luck out and their biggest need is a position that is loaded with talent that year in the draft.
25. San Diego Chargers- Adrian Clayborn,DE,Iowa
Clayborn would be a good fit at DE and could help a Chargers D that has struggled to get to the QB.
26. Philadelphia Eagles- Derek Sherrod,OT,Mississippi State
The Eagles offense is loaded and if they get some top notch O lineman and have a lot of depth on that line they will be unstoppable with Vick and the speed they have at WR and RB.
27. Green Bay Packers- Mike Pouncey,OC/OG,Florida
The Packers have struggled to run the ball and need to upgrade their interior lineman with players that can run block as well as pass protect. Centers are undervalued in the NFL and we Bengals fans know that all to well, remember Giucheck.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers- Rahim Moore,FS,UCLA
I really hope the Steelers don't land Moore, but if he's available here they very well could. With their current FS being below average and old they'll look to get a good FS to play next to Polumalu.
29. New Orleans Saints- Ryan Kerrigan,DE,Purdue
This is the best player on the board and is a position the Saints could use help. They need another pass rusher.
30. New York Jets- Cameron Heyward,DE/DT,Ohio State
The Jets D has been good this year, but not as dominant against the run as last year. Heyward will be a perfect fit at DE in their 3-4 and is a dual threat that can create havoc against the pass as well.
31. Atlanta Falcons- Allen Bailey,DE,Miami
The Falcons have gotten below average play from below average players at DE this year. Bailey will give them someone to get after the QB which they need with their biggest competition in their division being the Saints who throw the ball alot.
32. New England Patriots- Ryan Williams,RB,Virginia Tech
The Pats don't put a premium on RB's, but with this being their 2nd pick in the 1st round they make take a chance on a workhorse back.
*Bengals 2nd and 3rd round picks.
2nd Round- Demarcus Love,OT,Arkansas
I'm ready to give up on Andre Smith now. He's a fat,lazy,peice of crap and if I'm GM i'm cutting my losses and moving on from that unmotivated piece of shit. Like I said to win in the NFL you have to be good up front. Palmer is likely going to be gone soon and the Bengals need to get a solid O line before bringing in the next rookie QB. I'm happy with Whit at LT and Cook is ok I'd still like to upgrade Center, but Cook will do for now. Bobbie Williams is thatgetting old so I'd be looking at Guard early next year or in the free agent market for both Guard positions. Anyway love would be a perfect fit at RT he's big and a good run blocker, but not so huge and fat and slow that he can't pass block.
3rd Round- Deunta Williams, Safety, North Carolina
Obviously the play at Safety for the Bengals has been atrocious this year. If Williams is still available here he'd be an excellent pick. A 3rd rounder that could contribute right away and can support the run and play the pass.
* If I'm GM and my draft lands like this in the 1st 3 rounds I'd be pleased. It'd be a good compliment to the young players we already have in here. This would be part of my 3 year rebuilding plan. The following year I'd target a WR1 to replace Chad or TO a run stuffing DT to go with Peko and someone at OG in the first 3 rounds. Then the following year I'd go after my QB of the future, trading up if i needed to. To win Super Bowls you need to have a top 6 NFL QB. Unfortunately Mike Brown will never realize this so this is all a pipe dream.
1. Carolina Panthers- Andrew Luck,QB,Stanford
The Panthers didn't take Clausen until the 2nd round and I don't think they're are totally sold on him being their QB of the future. Luck is a player that has a chance to be an elite QB in the NFL and you don't pass on that for a guy that you're not totally sold on.
2. Detroit Lions- Patrick Peterson,CB,LSU
The Lions look like they have a bright future with a number of young up and coming stars. They are terrible in the secondary though and in the NFL you have to have multiple good cover guys, especially with GB in their division.
3. Cincinnati Bengals- Da Quan Bowers,DE,Clemson
If I'm GM of the Bengals I'm building the team from the lines. Teams that consistently win in the NFL are good up front on both sides of the ball. I don't know when the Bengals are going to get this, probably never, Mike Brown would rather take the big name skill guys because he thinks it'll sell tickets. If Luck is there I'm taking him because you don't pass on someone that has the ability to be elite like Brady and Manning, and I'm having him sit for a year or two to build a team around him so he has confidence right out of the gate.
That being said, Luck is gone and Bowers is the top player left on my big board and fills a huge need. You need to be able to get pressure on the QB and Bowers is a player that can single handily disrupt plays. With the Corners the Bengals currently have if they have an elite pass rusher they would be tough to throw on. Bowers has been unblockable this year and I believe will be an elite pass rusher in the NFL. The Bengals have had some good drafts the past couple years and have a good foundation of young core players. As bad as it's been this year, if they can build the lines they could have a good contending team year in and year out.
4. Buffalo Bills- Nick Fairley,DT,Auburn
The Bills aren't as bad as their record indicates and Fitzpatrick has played well. However they are terrible against the run and Fairley is the type of player who gets great penetration and will command double teams and can play DT or DE in the Bills 3-4 scheme.
5. Arizona Cardinals- Ryan Mallett,QB,Arkansas
The Cards play at QB has been horrible this year. When you have a WR like Fitzgerald you have to get a QB that can get him the ball.
6. Denver Broncos- Marcell Dareus,DE/DT,Alabama
The Broncos have been terrible on defense this year. This is one of the most athletically gifted players in the draft and I think is a perfect fit at DE in a 3-4 scheme and is a huge need for Denver.
7. Dallas Cowboys- Anthony Costanzo,OT,Boston College
After seeing Romo get hurt this year, I think Jerry Jones will do something to sure up that below average O line.
8. San Francisco 49ers- Prince Amukamara,CB,Nebraska
I thought the Niners would take a 1st round CB in this year's draft. They didn't and are still struggling there big time.
9. Minnesota Vikings- Jake Locker,QB,Washington
This is likely Favre's last year and the Vikings obviously aren't sold on Tavarris Jackson or they wouldn't have sent a plane and players to get Favre this year. This may be a reach but there is a premium on 1st round QB's and even though Locker has struggled he has the talent to be an upper echelon NFL QB.
10. Cleveland Browns- AJ Green,WR,Georgia
I doubt Green will fall this far because someone would trade up to get him if he did. He is an unbelievable talent and if the Browns land him here that would be a draft day steal.
11. Seattle Seahawks- Brandon Harris,CB,Miami
Everyone has thrown all over Seattle this year, they should look to land a CB in this draft pool loaded with 1st round talent a CB.
12. New England Patriots- Janoris Jenkins,CB,Florida (from Raiders)
I think Bellichek is happy with his core or WR's and will look to load up his secondary with another 1st round CB to play opposite of Devin McCourtey.
13. Washington Redskins- Julio Jones,WR,Alabama
The Redskins best playmaker on offense is Santana Moss and he's an average WR. Jones is a physical freak that will be tough to cover.
14. Tennessee Titans- Stephen Paea,DT,Oregon State
The Titans still haven't found a replacement for Haynesworth and Paea is freakishly strong and will be a force at DT in a 4-3.
15. Houston Texans- Aaron Williams,CB,Texas
The Texans have been horrible in the secondary, Kareem Jackson hasn't played well in his rookie year. With the Colts in their division they need cover guys. Rahim Moore could be the pick here as well, but I think CB needs to be adressed first.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars- Robert Quinn,DE,North Carolina
The Jags brought in Aaron Kampman but he blew out his ACL. They need players that can get after the QB as they also have Peyton Manning in their division.
17. Miami Dolphins- Mark Ingram,RB,Alabama
I think this is Ronnie Brown's last year in Miami and Ricky Williams is old. The Phins are a run first team and need a workhorse RB. Ingram is the only RB in this draft class worthy of a 1st round pick.
18. Kansas City Chiefs- Von Miller,OLB,Texas A&M
Miller would be a perfect fit in the KC 3-4. Pioli hasn't generally taken those pass rushing OLB's in the 1st round, but no one thought he would take a Safety with a top 5 pick either.
19. New York Giants- Akeem Ayers,OLB,UCLA
LB is by far the biggest weak spot on the Giants, their best LB is close to retirement and Ayers is the best fit and makes the most sense here.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Justin Blackmon,WR,Oklahoma State
The Bucs will hope Ingram is still available, but I don't think he will be. They need some playmakers on offense. Mike Williams was a good find and Arrelious Benn could develop into a good WR, but Blackmon could be a legit #1 WR for their young QB.
21. St Louis Rams- Jonathon Baldwin,WR,Pittsburgh
Baldwin's stock has fallen, but it really isn't his fault. The QB play at Pitt this year has been awful. The Rams have a rising star at QB and need to get him a legit #1 WR. They have a good mix of young WR's but no legit number one.
22. Indianapolis Colts- Gabe Carimi,OT,Wisconsin
The Colts have been devistated by injury this year about everywhere, but their biggest need is O line and when you have Peyton Manning you need to keep lineman stock piled. If you give him time he'll win you Super Bowls. Plus Carimi can be a road grader to help with that terrible running game and would be a perfect fit on the right side of that line as he's big enough to play Guard as well.
23. Chicago Bears- Nate Solder,OT,Colorado
O line is also the Bears biggest weakness. Cutler has been getting killed and Forte has been inconsistent with nowhere to run.
24. Baltimore Ravens- Brandon Burton,CB,Utah
The Ravens always seem to luck out and their biggest need is a position that is loaded with talent that year in the draft.
25. San Diego Chargers- Adrian Clayborn,DE,Iowa
Clayborn would be a good fit at DE and could help a Chargers D that has struggled to get to the QB.
26. Philadelphia Eagles- Derek Sherrod,OT,Mississippi State
The Eagles offense is loaded and if they get some top notch O lineman and have a lot of depth on that line they will be unstoppable with Vick and the speed they have at WR and RB.
27. Green Bay Packers- Mike Pouncey,OC/OG,Florida
The Packers have struggled to run the ball and need to upgrade their interior lineman with players that can run block as well as pass protect. Centers are undervalued in the NFL and we Bengals fans know that all to well, remember Giucheck.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers- Rahim Moore,FS,UCLA
I really hope the Steelers don't land Moore, but if he's available here they very well could. With their current FS being below average and old they'll look to get a good FS to play next to Polumalu.
29. New Orleans Saints- Ryan Kerrigan,DE,Purdue
This is the best player on the board and is a position the Saints could use help. They need another pass rusher.
30. New York Jets- Cameron Heyward,DE/DT,Ohio State
The Jets D has been good this year, but not as dominant against the run as last year. Heyward will be a perfect fit at DE in their 3-4 and is a dual threat that can create havoc against the pass as well.
31. Atlanta Falcons- Allen Bailey,DE,Miami
The Falcons have gotten below average play from below average players at DE this year. Bailey will give them someone to get after the QB which they need with their biggest competition in their division being the Saints who throw the ball alot.
32. New England Patriots- Ryan Williams,RB,Virginia Tech
The Pats don't put a premium on RB's, but with this being their 2nd pick in the 1st round they make take a chance on a workhorse back.
*Bengals 2nd and 3rd round picks.
2nd Round- Demarcus Love,OT,Arkansas
I'm ready to give up on Andre Smith now. He's a fat,lazy,peice of crap and if I'm GM i'm cutting my losses and moving on from that unmotivated piece of shit. Like I said to win in the NFL you have to be good up front. Palmer is likely going to be gone soon and the Bengals need to get a solid O line before bringing in the next rookie QB. I'm happy with Whit at LT and Cook is ok I'd still like to upgrade Center, but Cook will do for now. Bobbie Williams is thatgetting old so I'd be looking at Guard early next year or in the free agent market for both Guard positions. Anyway love would be a perfect fit at RT he's big and a good run blocker, but not so huge and fat and slow that he can't pass block.
3rd Round- Deunta Williams, Safety, North Carolina
Obviously the play at Safety for the Bengals has been atrocious this year. If Williams is still available here he'd be an excellent pick. A 3rd rounder that could contribute right away and can support the run and play the pass.
* If I'm GM and my draft lands like this in the 1st 3 rounds I'd be pleased. It'd be a good compliment to the young players we already have in here. This would be part of my 3 year rebuilding plan. The following year I'd target a WR1 to replace Chad or TO a run stuffing DT to go with Peko and someone at OG in the first 3 rounds. Then the following year I'd go after my QB of the future, trading up if i needed to. To win Super Bowls you need to have a top 6 NFL QB. Unfortunately Mike Brown will never realize this so this is all a pipe dream.
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